Managing the Unmanageable: Two Frameworks Explaining Business Evolution You Must Know About

I. Introduction

Every explanation of a pattern of behaviour starts with a philosophy or a way of making sense of the world in general and a phenomenon (or a class of phenomena) in particular. In business management, and since the early twentieth century, organisational theorists have tried to explain organisational behaviour and evolution through the cultural paradigms available at the time.

This article will examine two main frameworks: the classical framework epitomized by the works of Peter Drucker, Taiichi Ohno, and others, and the complexity theory-based framework championed by Dave Snowden, Ralph Stacey, and others. More specifically, we will look at how each framework deals with everyday situations that all organisations face and compare and contrast their methods and the assumptions behind them.

Strategic management, complex or simple?

The reason for undertaking this analysis is straightforward. As software professionals, we face situations and challenges daily and employ specific methods to solve complex problems associated with them. Sometimes, these methods do a great job; other times, not so much, and we must understand the root cause of the failure and what alternatives exist.

II. Business Management Schools of Thought

Countless books have been written on organisational theory and behaviour as well as business management (see References below for titles), and a few lines in an article on Operational Excellence in Software Development will hardly do this topic any justice. Therefore, we will confine ourselves to a few key ideas that are critical to understanding some of the (less technical) principles of operational excellence.

1900-1950

Classical Business Management

The pioneers of the early schools of business management, such as Peter Drucker, were practical and down-to-earth. They relied on social economics, historical analysis, and industrial engineering to understand organisations and how to run them—this period covered 1900-1950.

1950-1980

Systems Thinking

Another school of thought, Systems Thinking, based on the works of Herbert Simon, Russel Akoff, and others, emerged in the late 1950s and continued through the 1960s and 1970s. Its central idea was that “systems” such as organisations, economies, and living organisms cannot be understood by examining their parts or isolating them from their environment. The properties of the “system” are not the same as those of their parts and cannot be deduced from them.

1980-1990

Cybernetics

The story of Systems Thinking would not be complete without Cybernetics. Cybernetics is an interdisciplinary field that studies systems, particularly the processes of control and communication within those systems, whether biological, mechanical, social, or technological. Mathematician Norbert Wiener coined the term in his 1948 book Cybernetics: Or Control and Communication in the Animal and the Machine. It derives from the Greek word “kybernetes,” meaning “steersman” or “governor,” reflecting the idea of guidance and control.

1980-Present

Complex Adaptive Systems

Systems Thinking evolved further through the 1990s until the present day, giving rise to Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) and Complexity Theory, which can be understood through the concepts of Nonlinearity, Emergence, Adaptation, and Self-organization.

  • Nonlinearity means that small changes can lead to disproportionately large outcomes.
  • Emergence signifies that the system’s overall behaviour arises from the interactions of its components, which cannot be predicted solely by understanding the parts.
  • Adaptation means that the agents in a CAS change their behaviour based on feedback and learning, allowing the system to evolve.
  • Self-organization allows CASs to display spontaneous order without centralized control, meaning the system can organize itself through local interactions.

Throughout that time, Toyota has been forging its way to become the largest car manufacturer in the world. We understand the principles of management at Toyota through the works of Jeffery K. Liker (author of The Toyota Way), James P. Womack, Daniel I. Jones, and Daniel Roos (authors of The Machine That Changed the World). What is striking in their analysis is the absence of most (if not all) of the above frameworks (Systems Thinking, Cybernetics, Complexity Theory).

To examine all four frameworks, Systems Thinking, Cybernetics, Complexity Theory, and The Toyota Way, would be beyond the capacity of a single blog post. Therefore, we decided to focus primarily on The Toyota Way and Complexity Theory, the latter being the latest installed in the series discussing systems and their dynamics. The objective of this article is, therefore, to try and answer the following questions:

  • What are the main differences between The Toyota Way and Complexity Theory?
  • How does each school deal with the everyday challenges that organisations face?
  • Is there a best framework that would work under all conditions and in all industries?

Strategic management, theory vs practice?

The idea of modelling organisations as complex systems is very appealing, and its arguments are solid and grounded in theoretical and empirical evidence. On the other hand, we have a very successful organisation (Toyota) whose 14 principles overlap slightly with complexity theory but are primarily classical (belonging to the first school).

III. Comparing the Two Frameworks

The comparison will be done in several key areas that enterprises deal with daily. In each arena, we will examine the leading solution proposed by the two frameworks, The Toyota Way and Complexity Theory.

The information in the table below is gleaned from analysing the 14 principles of the Toyota Production System as described in the book “The Toyota Way” and from common knowledge of complexity science, especially the school championed by Dave Snowden, which he calls anthro-complexity.

1

Underlying Theoretical Framework

What is the theoretical framework used to model organisations and their dynamics?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Traditional methods of business management especially mass production, industrial engineering, quality control and management and operational excellence.

Complexity Theory

Organisations are modelled as complex adaptive systems (CAS) capable of adaptation, emergent behaviour and self-organisation.

2

Purpose and Meaning

What is the theoretical framework used to model organisations and their dynamics?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Benefiting society through meaningful contributions.

Complexity Theory

[No Equivalent]

3

Corporate Vision

Who sets the corporate vision and sees to its execution?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Corporate vision is set by top management, and, through operational excellence, managers and employees steer the enterprise towards that vision.

Complexity Theory

The future is unpredictable. There is no state of equilibrium (or external goals) towards which the organisation can gravitate. Abandoning platitudes and mission statements.

4

Sense-Making and Reality Construction

How is reality constructed and how does one make sense of their experiences?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Data is collected from the Genba or shop floor through Genchi Genbutsu (personal involvement or “go see for yourself”).

Complexity Theory

Reality is constructed through company narratives, or stories that people share around the watercooler about their experiences.

5

Hierarchies and Decision-Making

Who has the final word on strategic topics and how do groups decide on important matters?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Decisions are made top-down, but also by involving a broad range of people. Coaching instead of forcing solutions.

Complexity Theory

Self-organisation with boundaries, distributed ideation with centralised decision-making (or any other combination).

6

Planning and Strategy

How are long and short-term planning conducted?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Cascading vision and plans from top management all the way to employees on the shop floor.

Complexity Theory

Managing in the present, Agile, Scrum, sprints, searching for an adjacent possible rather than seeking an external goal.

7

Root-Cause Analysis

How are complex problems solved and root-cause analysis conducted?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Complex problem solving can be done through techniques such as “5 Whys” and the “Fishbone diagram”. It is assumed that causal relationships between events can be firmly established.

Complexity Theory

Causality is difficult to establish. Organisaitons gravitate towards strange attractors and far-from-equilibrium states. Many factors, drivers, and motivators co-evolve, influencing each other in both directions.

8

Solution-Finding

How are complex problems identified, articulated, and solved?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Solving complex problems at Toyota is done by exploring many alternatives and avoiding solutions from above.

Complexity Theory

In complexity theory, solving complex problems is done by conducting safe-to-fail experiments or by controlling “enabling constraints” and “governing constraints”.

9

Continuous Improvement

How can teams continuously improve their performance?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Challenging objectives, eliminating waste, Kaizen, Plan-Do-Check-Act (PDCA)

Complexity Theory

Enabling constraints, micro-interventions, fractal engagement.

10

Establishing Order

How is order established following a state of disorder such as a crisis?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Order is established and maintained through standardized processes, a conservative approach to change, and a healthy respect for authority.

Complexity Theory

Om complexity theory management, order is established by setting boundaries and implementing “governing constraints”.

11

Innovation

How do teams innovate?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

[No Equivalent]

Complexity Theory

Innovation is induced by engineering chaos, exaptation, maximizing options, and being exposed to serendipitous situations.

12

Leadership

What is the difference between managers and leaders and what is the leadership’s primary responsibility?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Internally grow leaders who live the philosophy and understand the culture

Complexity Theory

Leaders must manage, and managers must lead. Leaders must manage the present and abandon hopes of controlling the long-term evolution of the organisation.

13

Quality Control

What are the best practices for quality control?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Built-in quality, visual controls, and one-piece flow to prevent issues from being hidden

Complexity Theory

[No Equivalent]

14

Warehouse Management

What are the best practices for warehouse management?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

The 5S technique

Complexity Theory

[No Equivalent]

15

Design

How to design the best yet most affordable systems?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Getting feedback from many sources, possibly from experts outside the field

Complexity Theory

Agile design, designing for serendipity

16

Flow

How are people motivated so they are in the “flow”?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Flow is achieved through respect for people and providing them with meaningful jobs.

Complexity Theory

Changing the nature of people’s interactions rather than their mindsets.

17

Technology

What role does technology play?

Toyota Production System (TPS)

Technology serving the customers and the processes

Complexity Theory

The interplay between technology and end users changes client preferences while the latter influences future investments in the former.

IV. Summary and Conclusion

Below are some conclusions we can derive from the two approaches summarized above:

  • Theory and Practice
  • The complexity theory of management, especially as it appears in Stacey’s book, is more about understanding organisational behaviour, psychology, and evolution. Dave Snowden has invented various techniques to move the complexity theory of management into practice.
  • On the other hand, the Toyota Production System is a handbook with practical guidelines for managing a manufacturing business, making decisions, finding solutions, and preparing leaders. Liker’s book, The Toyota Way, contains many examples and anecdotal evidence to support the 14 principles presented.
  • Domain of Applicability
  • The Toyota Production System has generic guidelines applicable to all industries in addition to those from manufacturing. For example, just-in-time (JIT), 5S, and one-piece flow do not readily apply outside manufacturing.
  • Maturity
  • The Toyota Production System covers more areas of business management than the complexity management theory. In a sense, it appears more mature and robust. That isn’t surprising, given how well-established (and simple and practical) its ideas are. On the other hand, the Toyota Production System is more conservative regarding innovation, for example.
  • While complexity theory has a solid scientific foundation, the Toyota Production System is the accumulation of vast industrial engineering knowledge acquired over many generations.
  • Scope
  • Both schools touch upon various dimensions of organizational management, ranging from philosophical, psychological, managerial, and technical. This makes Operational Excellence challenging as it involves taming those aspects and effectively deploying the tools, methodologies, and practices within real teams and workshops.

Understanding these two frameworks is a starting point and a prerequisite to successfully investigating the behaviour of teams, groups, and organisations and making sense of one’s experience in each. Both are solid frameworks with plenty of evidence to support them.

These two frameworks are also essential in aiming for Operational Excellence, as they contain rich metaphors, guidelines, best practices, and practical methods for solving organizational issues.

V. References

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